Fannie Mae June 2017 outlook quote

“Our June forecast assumes that the Fed will increase the target rate once more this year in September and will begin to taper reinvestment of principal payments from its securities holdings in December. However, the recent slowdowns in hiring and inflation could lead the Fed to hold off on the September rate hike in order to gather more data.”

According to Duncan (Fannie Mae chief economist), the housing market hasn’t changed all that much in the last year. Labor and inventory shortages are constraining sales and therefore increasing home prices.

“We expect total home sales to rise 3.2 percent this year and total single-family mortgage originations to drop about 21 percent to $1.62 trillion,” Duncan said. “A large drop in refinance originations will likely outweigh a modest rise in purchase originations. We expect the refinance share to move down to around 34 percent in 2017 from 48 percent in 2016.”

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